This year it looks like it's the Pistons title to lose instead of the actual champ Spurs.
Actually I think the Spurs & Pistons are evenly matched. They both are veteran ex-champion teams. Both have played 90-100 games for the past few years. Both have strong defense and multiple offensive weapons. Both teams can bang or run.
Fatigue is showing in the Pistons starters due to their big minutes....although Flip is trying to use the bench more since AS break. But they are playoff tested and I expect them to make it to the finals. NJ (at least lately) or Miami...whoever advances into the ECF should give the Pistons a test. The first two rounds will be warmups.
For the Spurs its the nagging injuries...especially to Duncan, Manu and to an extent NVE. Duncan & Manu need an offseason to fully heal. A game or two here & there won't make a difference between now & June. NVE is talking about off season surgery. Again a battle tested team with a lot of finals experience. I would expect all 3 of the above mentioned to play through their injuries at this time of year. The team has been playing all year with that "Let's beat the champion" target on their backs. The problem I see is a much tougher road to the finals. The Kings/Lakers won't roll over in the first round. I would expect at least a 5 game series. Dallas in the second round will be classic. Seven games almost assured. Then most likely the Suns (although don't sleep on the Nuggets) which will be another tiring series.
So basically I think Detroit will be champs again. An easier playoff schedule + home court = win over Spurs in six or seven. If that's what you mean....then I agree with you. :cheers: