I believe the Astros will win.
The Sox starters will have lots of rest, but Clemens, Pettitte and Oswalt will be pitching on 5 days rest. That is more than enough rest.
Clemens is better than Contreras. Contreras has been brilliant in the postseason, and actually very good all year, but for some reason I don't trust him. Actually it is a very good reason, the guy has sucked up until this year.
Pettitte is slightly better than Buehrle, but not by much. This will be the key match up, and I have a lot of respect for Buehrle, and he will have to pitch well for the ChiSox to have a chance. I think he will.
Oswalt is far better, far far better than John Garland. If it goes to a game 7 this will be the matchup, and Houston has to love that match up.
Freddie Garcia is better than Backe. Finally Freddie Garcia is becoming teh picther he should be.
I like the Astros bullpen, simply because they have Brad Lidge. Lets face it, it took the best hitter in the world to beat Lidge, and he only did it once. The Sox have no one as dominate as Lidge.
The Key opffensive players in this series for each team are
Morgan Ensberg for Houston
Paul Konerko for the Sox
Ensberg carried this offense for most of the season, and he has been marginal in the playoffs. His OPS is off by almost .300 points. Houston is not loaded with offense, and he needs to step it up. If he has a big series, then the Astros win it easily.
Konerko is really the only consistant big bat in the lineup. The reason the WS have gone 7-1 is because of Konerko, AJ Pierzynski.
In the 8 playoff games Konerko is hitting on a pace for 80 hr, and 225 RBI. Pierzynski is on a pace for 60 HR and 120 RBI. The Sox really have no other big boppers.