I really have no idea. The situation is very fluid, and changes constantly. Bush has lead in the polls for an "almost" uninterrupted 4 months. When you combine all the multiple polls the margin of error drops considerably, and that would indicate a 51-48 Bush win. At the same time this election is very different than previous elections, because both parties have put such a huge effort into the get out the vote efforts. That is a very difficult variable to measure, and I don't believe the polls are reflecting that accurately. Of course the general election totals don't always predict the electoral college either.
So like I said, I really have no idea.