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« on: August 06, 2008, 10:35:42 AM »
I think, gathering information from different articles on the state of the Pistons, that Dumars realizes this team is not going to win another title with Billups, Rip, Prince, and Sheed as its primary 4 players. Since their title season they can't get past the conference finals and they're only getting older.
I think Dumars would like to reload to win in two or three years with Stuckey, Rip, probably Prince, and Maxiell. He can keep these four players and have cap room to make a run at a max player to complement this group. Therefore, moving Billups now means that in the summer of 2009 or 2010 he could take Billups 13 million and go get a player that would be younger, better, and allow playing time for Stuckey.
However, why make this move now? Why not wait a year? I think trading Billups now guarantees the caproom to take a shot next summer, they could have a large amount of room, and/or the following summer. Teams rarely get a player like the sixers did with their caproom, so you want to provide yourself more opportunities to use it.
Ultimately, 3 seasons from now, Dumars could envision a team with Rip, Prince, Stuckey, Maxiell, and a key free-agent. This could be more desirable than sticking with Billups for the next three years, likely not winning a championship, struggling to get Stuckey minutes, and letting Billups expire after you re-sign Rip, Stuckey, and Maxiell and have no shot at cap room.
For those who think Dumars is worried about making the Sixers better than the Pistons, I only suggested Dumars make this trade if he is willing to step back for two seasons to retool. If he is willing to take a step back by trading Billups for cap space, then winning either of the next to titles is not likely in his plans. Trading Billups for the always unreliable cap space is risky, but when considering that they likely aren't going to win the title in the next two years, I would definitely looked to the future.