I like that all of the "pundits" are picking Denver. I can't blame them. The Lakers have shown their inconsistencies that plagued them all regular season in the playoffs too often.
I like it though because I'm hopeful it will help fuel the Lakers fire. I always accuse them of believing their own press clippings, so I'd rather have them being called out in the media versus lauded and predicted to coast to the Finals.
I heard Mark Jackson on the radio today. They replayed his comments from during the game where he picked the Nuggets to beat the Lakers. They asked him if he was going to stick with his pick and he basically said that he thought the Nuggets would win unless the Lakers show up. Geez. That's so insightful. Way to go out on a limb, Mark. If the Lakers show up, they win, if they don't, they won't. You know, I'm going to go with that prediction too.
In all seriousness, I think this will be a tough series. Denver has improved significantly since last season. With the obvious addition of Billups, Nene back and playing his best ball, JR Smith scoring more consistently, etc. They play much better D than they used to. This is a team that has shown growth and improved during the season where the Lakers look like they're pretty much the same team they were in November. Shoot, they're maybe worse, considering how Bynum was playing back then vs. now.
I can argue Denver has yet to be challenged in the playoffs, but they beat their opponents by an average of 20.5 points. That's legit and the sign of a team that is focused.
I do think the Lakers match up better with Denver than Houston. Denver doesn't have a super speedy point guard which has been the Lakers Achilles heal forever. Scola is good. This guy has incredible moves and footwork in the low post and can hit the open jumper from consistently. I don't think Denver has a post player even close to as good as Scola offensively. And while Houston was depleted, they play an aggressive defense first mentality and while Denver's D has improved, routinely giving up well over 100 points to Dallas isn't exactly the sign of a defensive masterpiece. They want to get up and down the court and the Lakers can do well in that tempo as well and I think play better D than N.O. or Dallas.
I'm going to pick the Lakers in 7. I think between home court advantage and the league-wide conspiracy to get them to the Finals will be too much for the Nuggs to overcome.