From Nouriel Roubini's Econo Monitor
Until July of this year Russia was growing at an annual rate close to 8%, oil prices were peaking at $140 a barrel, the country was running a large fiscal surplus and a large current account surplus, it had a war chest of $600 billion of foreign reserves, its stock market, bond markets and currency values were strong and policy makers were thinking of turning the rouble into a major reserve currency, at least for the CIS bloc. This economic and financial success was leading Russia to flex its geo-political muscle challenging the U.S. on a number of political and military issues, using its energy power as an instrument of foreign policy in its relations with the Eurozone and its former Soviet neighbors. What a difference a few months make!
Read Nouriel?s ?Rouble Trouble in Russia: The Inconsistent Trinity at Work and the Need for a 20-25% Currency Depreciation?.
Russia is as they say "totally f$!#ed". A 20-25% currency depreciation will be absolutely devastating, and it will be just the beginning. Putin stole the investment of many Western firms in Russia, and gave the assets to Russian owned oil companies. Now the rouble is toilet paper, the Russian stock market is in free fall, and Russian debt is verging on worthless. They can't borrow internationally, nobody trusts them. So they are going to reduce output, in concert with OPEC, so they can get prices to increase. HA!! I will believe it when I see it. Same with Chavez, and the Mullahs in Tehran, and the loopies running the show in Lagos.