qbs and rbs translating college success into NFL success depends on a lot of factors.
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Bush could be good, but also consider history along with the help he had at USC.
1. History: Only five running backs have been the No. 1 pick the past 40 NFL drafts, and they have had varying degrees of success. Ki-Jana Carter, the last runner to be the top pick, in 1995, blew out his knee in his rookie preseason and did little in six pro seasons. Billy Sims had a big rookie year in Detroit after being drafted in 1980, but he had only three good seasons. Earl Campbell became an immediate star as a rookie in 1978, but he had joined a Houston team that was already decent, having gone 8-6 the previous season. Ricky Bell went to the dreadful Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 1977, and had only one good season (his third) in six seasons before his death. O.J. Simpson's status was much like Bush's is now when Simpson was taken first in 1969 -- a can't-miss speedster out of USC. Yet Simpson had three mediocre seasons with a lousy Buffalo Bills team before emerging with five standout years.
2. Offensive line: USC's offensive line may be the best in the country. "They're arguably one of the best offensive lines, not just in the nation, but in the history of college football," Oregon coach Mike Bellotti said. Although Bush's 8.9 yards per carry is mind-boggling, it should be noted that the other USC tailback, LenDale White, averages 6.7 yards a pop, the second best average among the 44 players who have 1,000 yards rushing. USC's No. 3 tailback, Desmond Reed, averaged 7.2 yards a carry. Often Bush was into the secondary before he had to initiate one of his ankle-breaking moves.
3. Other weapons: Defenses can't focus on stopping Bush because quarterback Matt Leinart was the Heisman Trophy winner last year, wide receiver Dwayne Jarrett is a first-team All-American and White is a third-team All-American. "If it was just Reggie, we could torque the defense to handle him, but that would be a sure way to lose," Texas linebacker Rashad Bobino said. Texas defensive tackle Frank Okam notes the case of Oklahoma running back Adrian Peterson, who rushed for 1,925 yards with a 5.7 average and was the Heisman runner-up last season, when 2003 Heisman winner Jason White was the Sooners quarterback. Peterson had 1,108 yards (5.0 average) this season with the Sooners breaking in a redshirt freshman quarterback.