Rick,
Boston/6th winner doesn't get Miami in the second round; they get Detroit/7th winner. 4th/5th winner gets Miami/8th winner.
I was one of the first people to believe in the benefit of getting Webber, but unfortunately, Philadelphia hasn't been able to use the guy. Philly might take out a weak Boston team, but realistically, they don't stand much of a chance against Detroit or Miami.
Personally, I find it hard to believe that Detroit is doing what they're doing. In terms of elite-level defenders, they've got Prince and Ben Wallace, and I've always been a fan of Hamilton's defense, but bottom-line, Detroit shouldn't be the kind of elite-level defensive team that they seem to be. And I'd think their offense would be prone to sputtering from time to time, as well. Yet still, they continue to amaze me.
Miami could win the ECF on the dominance of Shaq, or the dominance of Wade, or Detroit could win it on basketball IQ (which is where the team really shone in last year's finals - and I credit most of that to Tayshaun Prince). Outside of that, if you're looking at sheer talent, you have to look at Washington before Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is a team of Allen Iverson's indominable will, potential defensive stand-outs Dalembert and Iguodala (should be All-Defensive first team next year, if not this year), and role-players. That's not enough to be considered a real threat.